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Saturday, December 12, 2009

A Quick Layman's Observation!!

Something about this chart does not look good!!!
It is a comparison of the 30Y, 10Y, 5Y, 3Y, and the 1 month yields.
This is the SPX with the 1 month yield.
Do you think the Big boys are getting nervous about the near-term future?
Seems the majority of the money has been scrambling to short-term safety sending the 1 month T-bill down to a record low of .01%. It can not be a good sign when large investors get to the point of just trying to protect their money with no reward. Yields on the longer term T-Bills are growing at a substantially faster rate the further out in time they are, as the number of bidders have declined.
I get a really bad feeling the little guy will be left holding the bag, As the large investors have been fleeing to the safety of short term T-bills, the obvious question becomes where were they fleeing from?
Humm, the last three months all I have been hearing is "buy the dips!!".
I wonder who has been selling out at the highs?
And who is buying the dips?
I will leave you with one last chart down below, the Daily SPX with those Bollinger Bands that are showing something big is brewing!!!

4 comments:

  1. Nice work Col! This fits my count. Am I the only bear left? :>(

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  2. nice charts col

    that bollinger band one, wow

    looks like the tightest yet since the start of the rally in march, very tight!

    thanks!

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  3. col

    you and alpha have two of the best blogs ou there

    those bbands have me scared chitless bout a gap up rather than down

    i went back a couple of years and couldn't find any that were as tight

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  4. Heck No Alphahorn!!! There are other Bears too..

    ReplyDelete