

The trend however does remain UP, as a new high was made today, with no lower lows being made. This is getting old, but until we do start making lower lows, this fiasco can continue upwards. Right now we have 1190.19 as a minor low, that would put the uptrend into question, and a major low at 1183.68, that would really suggest the uptrend is serious shape, and most likely result in the direction of the trend changing to DOWN.
Breadth for the day ending flat, at 1.13:1, decliners, readings at this level are neutral, and not much can be gleaned from them today.
The SPX did manage to break out of the short-term Fib fan posted earlier in the day, but the VIX never closed the gap up from the open.

8:51, The short-term Fib fan is slowly breaking down, with the SPX out of the most bullish part of the fan now.

8:21, This is my most bearish option on the counts, where we have an impulse wave from the lows of 1044, with an ending triangle for the final 5th wave. The ending triangle does fit in here pretty good with all the corrective waves we have had for the last three weeks, and also goes nicely with the Fib fan chart below, where the 1125 level would fill the requirements that the 5th wave (blue), be the longest for an expanding diaganol.

7:55, That 1125 area is still looking like a good target for the SPX using the Fib fan chart, with that overhead trendline resistance continuing to do its job.
Nice work Col! So does that mean an extended 5th on this last C to complete the expanding diagonal up to 1225-1228? as a 'blow off' we're so close that a regular 5th would likely do it, esp considering the 3 of C was extended...
ReplyDeletesorry... extended 5th of an already extended 5th that is...
ReplyDeleteHi. I am forex-cat.
ReplyDeleteYour article is always useful.
Thanks.
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Check this out Mike. He has gone back decades to looking at the new highs records.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.chrisperruna.com/2010/04/25/nyse-new-high-new-low-extreme/