After the close, the count on the SPX is still unclear, I left the wave 1 down on the chart, but with the 2nd wave retracing so far back to the high, the probability is not very high that is correct, but it is still valid. That leaves the second option, that the run-up was part of a over-all larger corrective pattern, in which the different styles and counts available are so numerous it is hard to guess what the final out come would be at this stage.
But what I do feel comfortable with is that rising bearish wedge that was broke right at the close, along with the RSI, and the Elliott wave indicator diverging, together with the STO curling over to a sell signal all sounds short-term bearish to me.
Breadth ended the day at its high of 2.84:1 advancers. The SPX never did make a lower low, but briefly made a higher high before reversing back down at the close, leaving the trend neutral.
FWIW, I sold the 50% long position around mid-day, and went short 25% at 1148.30, the high of the day in my WSS account.
Click here for an updated look at the Fib fan chart, and please cast a vote!!!
7:20, The SPX is still with-in the short-term bearish fan, and the longer-term bullish fan.
But what I do feel comfortable with is that rising bearish wedge that was broke right at the close, along with the RSI, and the Elliott wave indicator diverging, together with the STO curling over to a sell signal all sounds short-term bearish to me.
Breadth ended the day at its high of 2.84:1 advancers. The SPX never did make a lower low, but briefly made a higher high before reversing back down at the close, leaving the trend neutral.
FWIW, I sold the 50% long position around mid-day, and went short 25% at 1148.30, the high of the day in my WSS account.
Click here for an updated look at the Fib fan chart, and please cast a vote!!!
7:20, The SPX is still with-in the short-term bearish fan, and the longer-term bullish fan.
Like your Blog:
ReplyDeleteMay I ask what fib measures do you use for the fib fans? Thanks www.mbewtrader.blogspot.com
62.8, 50, 38.2 %
ReplyDeletejust had some thoughts to share
ReplyDeletehave a look!
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3449922&cmd=show&disp=p
seems most likely outcome for S&P short term